Sitemap - 2024 - Margin of Error Blog
Note to Democrats: Organizing Matters
Are We Finally At This Point? Capitalist Greed and Violent Pushback
A Few Recommendations for Giving Tuesday: Build It! Move It! Protect It!
Irish Elections and Some Ideas the US Could Adopt
Conspiracy Theories and the Election
Reflections on the Democratic Party After the Election
Final Day of the Campaign: What the Latest is Telling Us
Some Reflections on the Last Day of Early Voting in Philly
Some Reasons to be Optimistic About Next Tuesday
Battleground State Early Voting Analysis as We Approach Two Weeks Out
Three Weeks Out: Is The Race Really This Close?
Recalled-vote Weighting: The Most Important Methodological Challenge in the 2024 Polling
Should You Worry About the Polls?
Is That Really Plausible? Gut Checking the Polls
What the Post-Debate Polling Landscape Looks Like
Debate Reaction and Polling Impacts
Notes from APSA: Election Forecasting for 2024
Florida and Texas: Rising Battlefields?
Trifecta Adjustment: Pennsylvania Looks to Be Close All Around
It's September! Time to Start Paying Attention
Trump is Losing: Where the Polling Stands at the Close of the DNC
Where Are the Trifecta States for Traveling Volunteers This Year?
What is Trump Doing in Georgia?
Democracy is Under Stealth Attack by Republicans
It’s Been Long Enough: Harris Has Momentum in the Polls
Who is going to be the Democratic VP nominee?
One Data Point Told Us Biden was in Big Trouble
Can Biden Win in November? A Look At the Polling Averages
Biden Withdrawal Appears Likely This Weekend
The Republican Front Wins in France: So, Was the Polling Wrong?
BREAKING: The Left Tops Neofascist RN in French Exit Polls
France: Last Hour Before the Polls Close
Who Are These Pollsters Biden Is Talking To?
The Polls Were Not Wrong: Labour Crushes the Tories
Polling Updates in UK and France
French Election: Tactical Withdrawals for an Antifascist Strategy
Are We in The Last Days of Biden’s Reelection Campaign?
UK Election: Labour and Tory Campaigns' Internal Polling Seems to Be Consistent with Public Polling
French Election: Thoughts and Reactions to First Round Results
Polling on Next Week's UK and French Elections
Nonprofits Can Help Turn Out Youth Voters
Monday Update: Reasons for Republicans to Worry
Why are Line Warming Bans Problematic?
Traveling Campaign Volunteers: States You Should Be Considering for this Fall
Nonprofit Voter Assistance Efforts at Risk in Wisconsin - plus a few bits of news from New York
Problems for Biden in the Battleground State Polling
Monday Update: Messing Around with Minor Parties
A Few More Interesting Items from the AAPOR conference
The Tories are Down Over 20 Points in the Polling, So Why is Sunak Calling an Election Now?
Notes from AAPOR: Reaching Sub-Groups
Don’t Worry about Maryland: Hogan is Not Going to Win
Monday Program Note (on Tuesday this week)
Some Thoughts on Union Organizing and its Implications for Democratic and democratic Politics
Expanding the Map: Why are the Campaigns Talking about Winning States They (Likely) Won't Win?
Notes on Current Polling Challenges
Which Congress Gets to Vote: Clarification to a point made in yesterday's post
Arizona and Wisconsin May Be the Key to a Biden Victory in November
New Poll Gives Us Some Hints About What's Going on with the Electorate
What Does Wisconsin's Primary Tell Us About November?
Looking at November: The Presidency